Friday, November 11, 2016


Donald Trump's victory almost certainly mean that the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court will be filled with a conservative.  That person may be very similar to the late Justice Antonin Scalia.  The NRA's gamble in endorsing Trump should pay off with security for the Second Amendment and, hopefully some  expansive clarifications.  The Court will, not have a conservative majority.  The conservatives are Roberts, Alito, Thomas.  The new justice will be the 4th conservative. The liberals are Ginsburg, Sotomayor, Breyer and Kagan. The swing-vote, as before, will be Kennedy.  He often votes with the liberals.  There will be no conservative revolution.  However, two of the liberals are elderly, Ginsburg (83) and Breyer (78). Justices generally don't retire when an ideological foe is in the White House. However, incapacity and death are always possibilities. Kennedy is 80.  Replacing one of those 3 with a conservative creates a conservative majority.

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